Isalathiso soMhambisi weFasteners Hits kwiinyanga ezili-14 ePhantsi njengoko iOutlook ikhula ngokuqhubekayo iNcinci neRosy

Isalathiso sisekwindawo yokwandiswa, kodwa hayi kakhulu. Ingakumbi isikrufu ( izikrufu zentsimbi, izikrufu zentsimbi, izikrufu zeTitanium)

I-FCH Sourcing Network ibike i-Fastener Distributor Index (i-FDI) yenyanga kaJanuwari ngoFebruwari 6, ebonisa ukuqala okubuthathaka kunyaka kunye nombono weenyanga ezintandathu oqhubekayo ukuncipha kwithemba.

I-FDI yenyanga ephelileyo ibonise ukufundwa kwe-52.7, phantsi kwe-3.5 amanqaku ukusuka ngoDisemba, kunye nelona nqaku lisezantsi ukusuka ngoSeptemba 2020's 52.0.Yayisekummandla wokwandisa, njengoko nakuphi na ukufundwa okungaphezulu kwe-50.0 kubonisa ukukhula kweemarike, kodwa enye inyanga yokunciphisa isondele kwi-breakeven.

I-FDI ibikwindawo yokwandiswa kwenyanga nganye ukusukela ngoSeptemba ka-2020, kutshanje ifikelele kwi-61.8 ngoMeyi odlulileyo kwaye ibambe kwi-50s ukususela ngoJuni ka-2021.

Ngeli xesha, isalathisi se-Forward-Looking-Indicator (FLI) - i-avareji yokulindela abaphenduli be-distributor kwiimeko zemarike ze-fastener zexesha elizayo - zibe nokwehla kwesihlanu ngokuthe ngqo.I-FLI kaJanuwari ye-62.8 yayiyi-0.9-point yokwehla ukusuka ngoDisemba kwaye ihlala iyancipha kakhulu ekufundweni okungaphezulu kwe-70 ebonwe entwasahlobo nasehlotyeni ye-2021. Sele i-60 ukususela ngoSeptemba 2021.

Kuphela ngama-33 epesenti yabaphenduli be-FDI's fastener survey kuphando ababonise ukuba balindele amazinga aphezulu omsebenzi kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezizayo xa kuthelekiswa nanamhlanje, ezantsi ukusuka kuma-44 epesenti abathe bathetha okufanayo ngoDisemba.Iipesenti ezingama-57 zilindele inqanaba elifanayo lomsebenzi, ngelixa i-10 ipesenti ilindele umsebenzi ophezulu.Ibilutshintsho olukhulu ukusuka kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, xa uninzi lweepesenti ezingama-72 zabaphenduli bathi bebelindele umsebenzi ophezulu.

Lilonke, amanani amva nje esalathiso acebisa inyanga embi kakhulu kubasasazi abakhawulezayo kunoDisemba, ngelixa iimeko zentengiso eziqikelelweyo zabona ukuhla okuncinci kwethemba.

“I-Index ye-Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) ehlengahlengisiweyo kaJanuwari ibithambile kancinane m/m kwi-52.7, nangona uphuculo olusezantsi lubonwe kwiimethrikhi ezininzi;uhlengahlengiso lwexesha lonyaka luye lwanefuthe eliphantsi kwiziphumo njengoko uJanuwari yeyona nyanga inamandla enyakeni,” utshilo umhlalutyi weRW Baird uDavid Manthey, CFA, malunga nofundo lwamva nje lwe-FDI.“Umphenduli wachaza ukudinwa kwabathengi phakathi konikezelo olugwenxa kunye namaxesha okukhokela.I-Forward-Looking Indicator (FLI) yayithambile ngokuthozamileyo nayo, ingena kuma-62.8, ngenxa yamanqanaba aphezulu oluhlu lwempahla kunye nenkangeleko enganeno yeenyanga ezintandathu.I-Net, sikholelwa ukuba iimeko zentengiso ezikhawulezayo bezizinzile kakhulu ngo-Disemba ngokuqhubeka kwemfuno eyomeleleyo ngokuyinxenye ngenxa yemiceli mngeni yobonelelo oluthe gqolo. ”

UManthe wongeze wathi, "Nangona kunjalo, ngokuqhubeka kwemfuno eyomeleleyo / ukusilela kunye namaxesha amade okukhokela, sikholelwa ukuba oku kuthetha ukuba i-FDI inokuhlala ikwimo yokukhula eqinileyo ixesha elide."

Kwizalathisi ezisixhenxe ze-FDI ngaphandle kwe-FLI, ezintlanu zibone ukwehla kwenyanga nenyanga okutsalelekayo kwisalathiso sisonke.Okubaluleke kakhulu, i-index yentengiso eguquguqukayo yawa ngamanqaku e-11.2 ukusuka ngoDisemba ukuya kuphawu lwe-64.5 emva kweenyanga ezimbini ezichanekileyo phakathi kwe-70s.I-Supplier Deliveries yawa ngamanqaku asibhozo ukuya kwi-71.7 (iinyanga ezili-14 eziphantsi);Uluhlu lwabaphenduli lwawa ngamanqaku angama-5.2 ukuya kuma-41.7 (iinyanga ezi-5 eziphantsi);Ixabiso leNyanga-ngeNyanga lehle ngamanqaku e-4.2 ukuya kwi-81.7 (inyanga ezili-11 eziphantsi);kwaye Ixabiso loNyaka-ngonyaka lihle ngamanqaku e-1.9 ukuya kwi-95.0.

Ukuphuculwa kukaJanuwari bekuyiNgqesho, ukunyuka kwamanqaku e-0.3 ukuya kuma-55.0;kunye noluhlu lweempahla zabaThengi, phezulu nge-2.7 amanqaku ukuya kwi-18.3.

“Ngelixa uninzi lweemethrikhi ziphuculwe, ixesha lembali lonyaka lingathetha ukuphucuka okukhulu bekuya kuba kulindelekile, okubangele ukuba isalathiso se-FDI siphole ngakumbi ukusuka kwisantya sikaDisemba,” utshilo uManthey.“Ixabiso likwayinto ethambileyo xa kuthelekiswa noDisemba, nangona mhlawumbi oku kunokujongwa ngendlela eyakhayo njengoko kunika abaphenduli ixesha elongezelelekileyo lokudlulisela ukonyuka kwabaxhasi bangaphambili kubathengi.Ingxelo yemfuno ihlala ilungile (abathengi baxakekile), kodwa amagqabantshintshi abonisa ukudinwa / ukukhungatheka kunokuzinza phakathi kokunqongophala kwezinto eziphathekayo, ukuhanjiswa kwexesha elide kwabaxhasi kunye namaxesha angaphambili awandisiweyo.

UManthe baye baqaphela ukuba uJanuwari ucebise okokuqala ukuba le ngqungquthela ingaba nefuthe kwiimvakalelo zabathengi kunye / okanye izigqibo zeprojekthi entsha.Uye wabelana ngamagqabantshintshi osasazo angachazwanga kuphando lukaJanuwari lwe-FDI:

–“Iishedyuli zabathengi zihlala zingafezekanga ngenxa yokunqongophala kwezinto ezahlukeneyo.Ukuhanjiswa kwababoneleli kunye namaxesha okukhokela ahlala engumqobo ekukhuleni kwentengiso kunye nokuqaliswa kwenkqubo entsha. "

–“Abathengi baxakekile kwaye badiniwe.Bafumana ubunzima bokuqhubeka. ”

"Ngokucacileyo, enye into yokudinwa / ukukhungatheka ihlala phakathi kwabathengi," watsho uManthey."Kuyafaneleka ukujonga ukuba oku kuyayichaphazela imfuno yexesha elizayo, nangona ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ayikabikho."


Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-03-2022