I-Fasteners Distributor Index Ishaya Ezinyangeni Eziyi-14 Eziphansi Njengoba I-Outlook Ikhula Ngokuqhubekayo I-Rosy Iyancipha

Inkomba isesendaweni enwetshiwe, kodwa hhayi kakhulu. Ikakhulukazi isikulufu ( izikulufu zensimbi, izikulufu zensimbi engagqwali, izikulufu ze-Titanium)

I-FCH Sourcing Network ibike ukuthi i-Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) yenyanga kaJanuwari ngoFebhuwari 6, ikhombisa ukuqala okubuthakathaka konyaka kanye nombono wezinyanga eziyisithupha oqhubeka nokuncipha ethembeni elihle.

I-FDI yangenyanga edlule ikhombise ukufundwa okungu-52.7, kwehle ngamaphuzu angama-3.5 ukusuka kuZibandlela, kanye namamaki aphansi wenkomba kusukela ngoSepthemba 2020’s 52.0.Yayisesendaweni enwetshiwe, njengoba noma yikuphi ukufundwa okungaphezulu kuka-50.0 kubonisa ukukhula kwemakethe, kodwa enye inyanga yokunciphisa iseduze nokwephulwa.

I-FDI ibilokhu isendaweni enwetshiwe inyanga ngayinye kusukela ngoSepthemba 2020, muva nje inyukele ku-61.8 ngoMeyi odlule futhi ibibambe eminyakeni yama-50s kusukela ngoJuni 2021.

Ngaleso sikhathi, inkomba ye-Forward-Looking-Indicator (FLI) yenkomba - isilinganiso sokulindelwe kwabaphenduli bokusabalalisa izimo zemakethe ezisheshayo zesikhathi esizayo - ibe nokwehla kwesihlanu okuqondile.I-FLI kaJanuwari ka-62.8 ibe ukwehla ngamaphuzu angu-0.9 kusukela ngoDisemba futhi isalokhu ihle kakhulu kusukela ekufundweni okungaphezulu kuka-70 okubonwe entwasahlobo nasehlobo lika-2021. Sekuyiminyaka engama-60 kusukela ngo-Septhemba 2021.

Amaphesenti angama-33 kuphela abaphenduli benhlolovo yokusabalalisa abasabalalisi be-FDI ababonise ukuthi balindele amazinga aphezulu omsebenzi ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo uma kuqhathaniswa nanamuhla, behle besuka kumaphesenti angama-44 abasho okufanayo ngoDisemba.Amaphesenti angu-57 alindele izinga elifanayo lomsebenzi, kuyilapho amaphesenti angu-10 alindele umsebenzi ophezulu.Kube ukuguqulwa okukhulu kusukela engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2021, lapho abangaba amaphesenti angama-72 abaphendula bathi bebelindele umsebenzi ophezulu.

Sekukonke, izibalo zakamuva zenkomba ziphakamisa inyanga embi kakhulu kubasabalalisi abasheshayo kunoDisemba, kuyilapho izimo zemakethe ezibikezelwe zenze okunye ukwehla kwethemba.

“I-Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) elungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile zonyaka kaJanuwari ibithambe kancane ngo-m/m ku-52.7, nakuba ukuthuthukiswa okuphansi kubonakala kumamethrikhi amaningi;isici sokulungiswa kwesizini sibe nomthelela wehla emiphumeleni njengoba uJanuwari ngokuvamile eyinyanga enamandla kakhulu onyakeni,” kusho umhlaziyi wakwa-RW Baird uDavid Manthey, CFA, mayelana nokufundwa kwakamuva kwe-FDI.“Ukuphawula komphenduli ukhombise ukukhathala kwekhasimende phakathi nokulethwa okungajwayelekile kokulethwa kwempahla kanye nezikhathi zokuhola.I-Forward-Looking Indicator (FLI) nayo ibithambe ngesizotha, ingena ku-62.8, ngenxa yamazinga aphezulu we-inventory kanye nombono ongemuhle wezinyanga eziyisithupha.I-Net, sikholelwa ukuthi izimo zemakethe ezisheshayo bezizinzile kakhulu ngo-December njengoba isidingo esinamandla esiqhubekayo esisindwe yizinselelo eziqhubekayo ze-supply chain.”

UManthey wengeze wathi, "Kodwa-ke, ngokuqhubeka kwesidingo esinamandla/ukusilela emuva kanye nezikhathi zokuhola ezinde, sikholwa ukuthi lokhu kusho ukuthi i-FDI ingahlala isesimweni sokukhula isikhathi eside."

Kumandices e-FDI ayisikhombisa ngaphandle kwe-FLI, amahlanu abona ukwehla kwenyanga nenyanga okudonse kunkomba iyonke.Okuphawuleka kakhulu, inkomba yokuthengisa eguquguqukayo yehle ngamaphuzu we-11.2 kusukela ngoDisemba kuya kumaki we-64.5 ngemuva kwezinyanga ezimbili eziqondile phakathi neminyaka yama-70s.I-Supplier Deliveries yehle ngamaphuzu ayisishiyagalombili yaya ku-71.7 (phansi kwezinyanga eziyi-14);I-Inventories yabaphenduli yehle ngamaphuzu angu-5.2 yaya ku-41.7 (izinyanga ezi-5 eziphansi);Intengo Yenyanga Nenyanga yehle ngamaphuzu angu-4.2 kuya ku-81.7 (izinyanga eziyi-11 eziphansi);futhi Intengo Yonyaka nonyaka yehle ngamaphuzu angu-1.9 yaya ku-95.0.

Okuthuthuke ngoMasingana kube Ukuqashwa, kwakhuphuka amaphuzu angu-0.3 kuya ku-55.0;kanye ne-Inventories yekhasimende, ikhuphuke ngamaphoyinti angu-2.7 ukuya ku-18.3.

“Nakuba amamethrikhi amaningi ebengcono, isikhathi sonyaka somlando singasho ukuthi bekulindelwe ukuthuthukiswa okukhulu, okuholele ekutheni inkomba ye-FDI iphole ngokuqhubekayo ukusuka ngesivinini sikaDisemba,” kusho uManthey.“Izintengo nazo bezithambile uma ziqhathaniswa noDisemba, nakuba lokhu kungase kubhekwe kahle njengoba kunikeza abaphendulayo isikhathi esengeziwe sokudlulisela ekwandiseni abahlinzeki bangaphambili kumakhasimende.Impendulo yezidingo ihlala iyinhle (amakhasimende amatasatasa), kodwa ukuphawula kukhombisa ukukhathala/ukukhungatheka kungase kuxazululeke phakathi nokushoda kwezinto ezibonakalayo, ukudiliva abahlinzeki isikhathi eside kanye nezikhathi zokuhola ezandisiwe.”

UManthe baphinde baphawula ukuthi uJanuwari uphakamise ngokokuqala ngqa ukuthi le mpikiswano ingaba nomthelela emizwa yamakhasimende kanye/noma izinqumo ezintsha zephrojekthi.Wabelana ngamazwana abasabalalisi abambalwa abangaziwa abavela kunhlolovo kaJanuwari ye-FDI:

–“Amashejuli amakhasimende ahlala eguquguquka ngenxa yokushoda kwezinto ezihlukahlukene.Ukulethwa kwabahlinzeki kanye nezikhathi zokuhola kusalokhu kuyisithiyo ekukhuleni kokuthengisa nasekuqaliseni izinhlelo ezintsha.”

-“Amakhasimende amatasa futhi akhathele.Babhekene nobunzima bokugcina.”

"Ngokusobala, enye into yokukhathala/ukukhungatheka iqala phakathi kwamakhasimende," kusho uManthey."Kuyafaneleka ukubheka ukuthi lokhu kuyasithinta yini isidingo sesikhathi esizayo, nakuba kuze kube manje akukabikho."


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Mar-03-2022